Risk Assessment Report – 24 January 2020


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Risk Assessment Report – 24 January 2020


Rapid Risk Assessment

January 24, 2020

Risk Assessment Report – 24 January 2020

Time Period Covered January 24, 2020 - January 24, 2020

Reasons for Concern
  • There is evidence of broader geographic spread across mainland China and the rest of Asia.
  • WHO said earlier that an animal source seemed to be "the most likely primary source" with "some limited human-to-human transmission occurring between close contacts." 
  • Evidence supports human-to-human transmission of the virus. o In Guangdong, two patients were infected by family members who visited Wuhan. 
  • Fifteen medical workers helping with coronavirus patients in Wuhan have also been diagnosed with pneumonia, with one in critical condition. 
  • The Wuhan South China Seafood Market which sold various live animal species and may have been the source of the novel virus, was closed 01 January 2020. The increasing cases reported more recently indicate further spread through human-to-human transmission is likely to continue.
  • Further information is required to understand how readily the virus can be transmitted between infected individuals.