Risk Assessment Report – 26 February 2020


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Risk Assessment Report – 26 February 2020


Rapid Risk Assessment

February 26, 2020

Risk Assessment Report – 26 February 2020

Time Period Covered February 26, 2020 - February 26, 2020

  • The WHO-China joint mission concluded on 24 February. The team has made a range of findings about the transmissibility of the virus, the severity of disease and the impact of the measures taken. Some of the information/findings from this mission are: o the epidemic peaked and plateaued were between the 23rd of January and the 2nd of February, and has been declining steadily since then. o there has been no significant change in the DNA of the virus. o fatality rate is between 2% and 4% in Wuhan, and 0.7% outside Wuhan. o people with mild disease, recovery time is about two weeks, while people with severe or critical disease recover within three to six weeks. o It was estimated that the measures taken in China have averted a significant number of cases.
  • A joint WHO and European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) mission arrived in Italy on 24 February to support Italian authorities on the COVID-19 situation
  • According to ECDC, all previously reported cases in the EU/EEA and UK have clearly established epidemiological links; contact tracing measures have been in place to contain further spread. Extraordinary public health measures have been implemented in northern Italy and strong efforts are being made to identify, isolate and test contacts in order to contain the outbreak. The probability of further transmission in the EU/EEA and the UK is considered to be low, but cannot be excluded because a high level of uncertainties with several unpredictable factors and a situation that is still evolving.